TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Over40c13,425$5,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,372.161,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over39c12,377$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853.242,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c7,972$4,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c6,093$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.441,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c3,490$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.634,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5da9…f4c3backed Over44c3,437$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.891921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c3,288$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.8386452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under54c3,039$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.162,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under69c2,463$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.762,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0c…9168backed Over24c2,424$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under59c2,129$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.8737959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over32c2,038$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.12835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under65c2,022$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.42,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9810335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c1,833$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.162,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61540343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9911243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c1,487$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.252,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over49c1,432$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.2536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under51c1,429$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.218243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under60c1,313$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.2461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…ea73backed Over54c1,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50733149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Under57c1,200$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52022441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under58c1,101$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.3616050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under59c1,094$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.9777845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over18c1,069$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4734924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over35c1,053$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.51,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over54c999.46$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.714156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under64c965.83$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.452,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e70…582fbacked Over36c893.48$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under62c806.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.468056.3%45 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Over42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3362240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed Under56c787.44$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.782138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under49c760$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.860752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efe…d987backed Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c660.05$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.033,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under59c632.99$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.532,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9728…cb59backed Over58c630.6$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.751827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under75c572.63$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over42c559.12$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over58c522.16$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over30c508.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.283,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd252…775bbacked Over39c501.08$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.426139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb6…944cbacked Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over50c491$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.33,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under50c480$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7aa8…0027backed Over42c477.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under46c436.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.638643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under63c419.62$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.612,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4af6…270abacked Over58c346.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over30c340$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x880e…bd26backed Under61c330.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.252157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Over30c309.05$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.517240.3%29 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Over23c305.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.995215.4%8 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over37c279.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.594334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8053…2a8ebacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006533.8%22 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Under58c267.67$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.421450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over38c263.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Under10c257.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.576624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e0b…a859backed Over38c255.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over40c252.85$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1423729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c252.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.342,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over40c252.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9425…0b83backed Over40c249.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0201backed Under61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.93562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over10c244$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Over57c243.86$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1396732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over43c230.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.668338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Over38c229.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under62c220.65$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.682,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over38c211.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.447136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Under60c209.89$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6517329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa0…75d2backed Over39c203.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.321631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8812854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over43c197$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.261,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over36c196.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.551,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Over50c196$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ef9…fe12backed Over51c195.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Over38c164.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.613243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under53c163.37$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3313247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d10abacked Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505446.3%25 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Over56c160$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.372755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under63c157.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…9e88backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c155.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.732,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x64aa…da35backed Over57c154.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under61c154.65$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.081,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024f…1c51backed Under67c148.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.681040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+151.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over40c144.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.821,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under79c144.03$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5823637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Over40c142.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over51c135.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.210440.4%42 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Over56c124.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.