TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x024f…1c51

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT4526.7%12 W · 33 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$253.44
Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$142.37
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.13
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.77
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.36
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.54
Set 2 Winner: Tiafoe vs Shimabukurobacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$137.54
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$271
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.36
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.87
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$482.89
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardtbacked Bruno Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.06
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Moutetbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$138.63
HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Set 1 Winner: Jones vs Shapovalovbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Set 2 Winner: Paul vs Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landalucebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+198.3%+$222.12
Set 2 Winner: Basilashvili vs Altmaierbacked Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)backed Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$98.2
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.93
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+151.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.67
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$145.67
Japan to score first vs. Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$402.62
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$190
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$48.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.