Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34be65f58d02f19785ae2dba0c024a4cee85b3e01d0cfed75bdea38f4795fb53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brandon Nakashimaof Brandon Nakashima, Ignacio Buse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $322,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Ignacio Buse | 20c | 99,497$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…84f0backed Brandon Nakashima | 77c | 43,993$33,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,255.89 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brandon Nakashima | 80c | 35,985$28,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,296.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Brandon Nakashima | 72c | 19,649$14,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.86 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Ignacio Buse | 5c | 10,200$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.99 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Ignacio Buse | 17c | 8,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Ignacio Buse | 18c | 7,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Ignacio Buse | 19c | 7,437$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Ignacio Buse | 13c | 6,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.99 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Ignacio Buse | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Ignacio Buse | 19c | 5,000$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.14 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ignacio Buse | 42c | 4,480$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.57 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 4,340$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.23 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 3,696$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ignacio Buse | 24c | 3,570$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.71 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 74c | 2,973$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Ignacio Buse | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 2,692$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.16 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ignacio Buse | 23c | 2,479$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.23 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Ignacio Buse | 17c | 2,260$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.13 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Ignacio Buse | 31c | 2,162$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.24 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ignacio Buse | 11c | 2,026$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Ignacio Buse | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Ignacio Buse | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…300cbacked Ignacio Buse | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…1c51backed Ignacio Buse | 16c | 1,838$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.36 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…a20dbacked Ignacio Buse | 14c | 1,658$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…aa6ebacked Ignacio Buse | 23c | 1,577$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Ignacio Buse | 17c | 1,492$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Ignacio Buse | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Brandon Nakashima | 73c | 1,171$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.15 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Ignacio Buse | 14c | 1,131$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.47 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Ignacio Buse | 28c | 1,072$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Ignacio Buse | 12c | 1,030$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ignacio Buse | 26c | 999.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.61 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Ignacio Buse | 27c | 998.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.73 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Ignacio Buse | 20c | 980.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Ignacio Buse | 20c | 968.81$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brandon Nakashima | 74c | 946$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Ignacio Buse | 19c | 936.84$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 911.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Ignacio Buse | 28c | 846.43$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Ignacio Buse | 24c | 814.78$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Ignacio Buse | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ignacio Buse | 26c | 764$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ignacio Buse | 24c | 730.74$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Brandon Nakashima | 71c | 713.34$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Brandon Nakashima | 78c | 634.62$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Ignacio Buse | 31c | 541.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…2e22backed Ignacio Buse | 17c | 541.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Ignacio Buse | 19c | 512.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ignacio Buse | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 486.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ignacio Buse | 18c | 486.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Ignacio Buse | 19c | 476.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Brandon Nakashima | 72c | 474.37$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ignacio Buse | 22c | 460.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Brandon Nakashima | 73c | 434.88$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 78c | 432$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Ignacio Buse | 17c | 425.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 136 | 34.6%47 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 415.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Ignacio Buse | 24c | 413.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Ignacio Buse | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Ignacio Buse | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Ignacio Buse | 21c | 361.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Ignacio Buse | 23c | 360$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ignacio Buse | 15c | 340.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Ignacio Buse | 8c | 336.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Ignacio Buse | 28c | 336.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Ignacio Buse | 28c | 330$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ignacio Buse | 25c | 319.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Ignacio Buse | 25c | 319.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Ignacio Buse | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Ignacio Buse | 15c | 289.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Brandon Nakashima | 73c | 272.19$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ignacio Buse | 21c | 268$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Ignacio Buse | 12c | 263.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Ignacio Buse | 17c | 261.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Brandon Nakashima | 77c | 259.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Brandon Nakashima | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Ignacio Buse | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Ignacio Buse | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Brandon Nakashima | 79c | 249.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Ignacio Buse | 27c | 249.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 76c | 249.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ignacio Buse | 18c | 249.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ignacio Buse | 25c | 230.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Ignacio Buse | 12c | 228.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Brandon Nakashima | 76c | 222$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Ignacio Buse | 27c | 221$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Ignacio Buse | 18c | 218$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Brandon Nakashima | 73c | 204.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Ignacio Buse | 25c | 201.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Ignacio Buse | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ignacio Buse | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ignacio Buse | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Busethis page
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)Nakashima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.