TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7906…be5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT9058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuelbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.1
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Volodymyr Iakubenkobacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$315.6
ITF Samobor: Jakub Vrba vs Noa Vukadinbacked Noa Vukadin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Busebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$62.5
ITF Blois: Yaroslava Bartashevich vs Sofya Lanserebacked Sofya Lansere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$128.65
ITF Saarlouis: Adrian Oetzbach vs Niels Ratiubacked Adrian Oetzbach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
ITF Ystad: Ida Wobker vs Johanne Christine Svendsenbacked Johanne Christine Svendsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
ITF Blois: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Margaux Rouvroybacked Alevtina Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$179.99
ITF Kayseri: Ruben Lebron Puerta vs Rafael Giotisbacked Rafael Giotis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.4
ITF Gyula: Jan Hrazdil vs Tudor Batinbacked Jan Hrazdil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+41%+$116.2
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Zarazuabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.5
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parksbacked Tessa Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidelbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaurbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$75
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Prestonbacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.5
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Boltbacked Jamie Mackenzie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romanobacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$831.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$831.3
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$945
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$228
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$193.47
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.43
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+178.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$236.57
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$175.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.5
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$880
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.