Cricket · resolved market
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db3c6b7618fe89b7dbc70131494d8859685d9af2a8c1edb664bf8620aa3acca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof Canada, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x601a…a675backed USA | 70c | 4,436$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.72 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Canada | 25c | 2,642$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.83 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed USA | 78c | 1,931$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.25 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Canada | 28c | 1,800$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.32 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Canada | 25c | 1,383$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.21 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked USA | 78c | 1,013$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Canada | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked Canada | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked USA | 70c | 771.02$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…8958backed USA | 70c | 545.31$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Canada | 31c | 544.73$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Canada | 32c | 484.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Canada | 31c | 434.89$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Canada | 30c | 333.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…6270backed USA | 73c | 329.1$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed USA | 70c | 324.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed USA | 72c | 280.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Canada | 29c | 222.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canada | 25c | 181.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed Canada | 22c | 170.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…3003backed USA | 64c | 157.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed USA | 61c | 139.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Canada | 36c | 138.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed USA | 68c | 119.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed USA | 60c | 115.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Canada | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Canada | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Canada | 31c | 93.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked Canada | 36c | 92.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c8a4backed USA | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Canada | 34c | 64.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Canada | 32c | 64.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Canada | 28c | 64.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed USA | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…90b8backed USA | 70c | 52.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Canada | 33c | 52.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked USA | 68c | 50.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed USA | 73c | 41.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed USA | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed USA | 67c | 34.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked USA | 71c | 32.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e069backed USA | 69c | 32.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed USA | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…c556backed Canada | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked USA | 70c | 22.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked USA | 71c | 22.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.