TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba02…c556

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.49
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.33
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$22
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$42.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frechbacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Nottingham 2: Darwin Blanch vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Danielbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaardbacked Thijs Boogaard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Taburbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshawbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$51.6
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonaldbacked Ella McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$139.44
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.91
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$164
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymerbacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Libema Open, Qualification: James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jongbacked Alexander Maarten Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+92.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.82
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+218.2%+$218.18
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.