MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ff9a9ae5b2f5c748db841ebd1b573cd14a6c10f9702336ad395c956427c6bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 59,719$33,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,425.16 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 45,000$25,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,650 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 42,839$8,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,231.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 23,678$10,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,496.6 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 23,377$10,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,147.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 19,811$8,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,094.16 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 17,089$7,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,472.81 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 15,000$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,501 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 11,407$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,498.22 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 11,068$7,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 8,324$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.65 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 7,781$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 6,430$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.81 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 6,006$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 5,412$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.87 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 5,339$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.04 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 4,611$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,400$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.39 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 3,214$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.84 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 3,054$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 2,488$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.85 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 2,307$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.17 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…178dbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 2,150$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,055$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.63 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,750$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,643$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,497$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.14 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 66c | 1,484$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.82 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 1,372$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 1,322$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 1,308$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.86 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,269$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.07 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 1,263$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.45 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 1,257$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 1,199$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 1,091$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 983.93$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 961.13$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.97 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 931.4$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.9 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…48debacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 899.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 891.77$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.15 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 879.82$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.43 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 843$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.77 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 797.29$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.05 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.45 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 742.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 735.29$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 717.36$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…0828backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…0493backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 699.1$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 672$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.49 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 618.46$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…89cebacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 614.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 605.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.4 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 535.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 523.26$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.26 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 498.15$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 495$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 489$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.84 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 479.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 475.67$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 473.04$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 455$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 447.91$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.35 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 436.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 360$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 359.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 354.76$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 351.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 330$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 325.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 299.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 296.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 295.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 283.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…4778backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 277.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 273.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 262.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 255$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 237.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 232.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 226.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.41 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 222.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.