MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18915f2ad2ef6e17ce5b9725ae11de32a5be94d66a1b9c5e93df903f7945f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Atlanta Braves, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $733,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $730,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $733,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 142,603$70,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,582.6 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 125,000$61,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,249.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 114,821$58,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,262.47 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 103,800$53,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,675.28 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 48,909$18,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,215.79 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 37,714$16,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,794.14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 30,171$23,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,898.05 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 20,212$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,512.34 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 69c | 17,960$12,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,633.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 16,234$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 15,836$7,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,918.13 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 15,249$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,472.02 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 14,520$6,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 13,312$6,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,656.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.97 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 9,851$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 8,641$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 8,309$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 7,260$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.9 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 7,235$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.32 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 6,634$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.19 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 6,132$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.12 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 6,049$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 5,911$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.73 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 4,881$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.04 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 4,046$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.66 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 3,942$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.56 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 3,617$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.97 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Atlanta Braves | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 3,315$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.33 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,687$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.15 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,287$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.68 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,239$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.78 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 2,195$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.02 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,051$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.17 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 24c | 2,027$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 21c | 2,002$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.91 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 1,892$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.65 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 1,876$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 1,784$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.84 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,768$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.03 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 1,604$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,592$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 1,525$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,490$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.38 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 1,414$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,324$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.85 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,278$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 1,241$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.02 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.41 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 998.25$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.66 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 923.74$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 900.97$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 895.23$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 882.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 819.62$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.35 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 816.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…5baebacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 805.6$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.38 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Atlanta Braves | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 774.17$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 708.3$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 681.51$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 651.21$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.9 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 575$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 543.85$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 526.45$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 508.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 499.47$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 492.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 492.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 449.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 441.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Atlanta Braves | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 412.25$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.25 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 401.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…202bbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 391.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…8590backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 389.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 387.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 387$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 384.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 378.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…b6ddbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 376.82$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.