MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ce0f0536a35d1f4daf5c467259375882f6ebef908add3af279ef80b9493600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 23,964$10,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,727.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 55c | 21,574$11,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,865.62 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 65c | 7,727$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 4,404$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Over | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 1,294$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 797.89$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 38c | 299$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 261.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 220.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 44c | 162.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 8c | 130.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 125.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 75c | 103.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 50c | 85.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 40c | 85.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 64c | 67.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 53c | 48.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 38c | 48.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…90e5backed Over | 61c | 37.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 67c | 35.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…f320backed Over | 61c | 35.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Over | 61c | 35.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Under | 54c | 34.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…43f1backed Over | 61c | 34.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 61c | 33.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…64a2backed Over | 61c | 33.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…7767backed Over | 61c | 33.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Over | 40c | 33.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2421…e2d0backed Over | 61c | 33.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…efbebacked Over | 61c | 33.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed Over | 61c | 32.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…ec25backed Over | 61c | 32.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…cbc8backed Over | 61c | 32.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…a0ecbacked Over | 61c | 32.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…125abacked Over | 61c | 31.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…b90fbacked Over | 61c | 31.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…e320backed Over | 61c | 31.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…b8dcbacked Under | 47c | 31.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…5fe3backed Over | 61c | 31.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…afb5backed Over | 61c | 31.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed Over | 61c | 31.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed Over | 61c | 31.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…5bd3backed Over | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…24a8backed Over | 61c | 30.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…95d7backed Over | 61c | 30.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…6da5backed Over | 61c | 30.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…ab5dbacked Over | 61c | 30.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…7347backed Over | 61c | 30.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x039d…390abacked Over | 61c | 29.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192d…b95abacked Over | 61c | 29.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…1f81backed Over | 61c | 29.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…6d30backed Over | 61c | 29.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 44c | 29.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…f5d9backed Over | 61c | 28.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…a082backed Over | 61c | 28.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…aceabacked Over | 61c | 28.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…8914backed Over | 61c | 28.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…ad38backed Over | 61c | 28.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…0694backed Over | 61c | 28.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…7835backed Over | 61c | 28.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…94cabacked Over | 61c | 28.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…aa45backed Over | 61c | 27.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…df55backed Over | 61c | 27.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Over | 61c | 27.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…1c52backed Over | 61c | 27.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5206backed Over | 61c | 27.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…60b6backed Over | 61c | 27.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…f9fbbacked Over | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…f65abacked Over | 61c | 26.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…bb82backed Over | 61c | 26.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…005fbacked Over | 61c | 25.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…7f2ebacked Over | 61c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0720backed Over | 61c | 25.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…35a1backed Over | 61c | 24.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…cc49backed Over | 61c | 24.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Under | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…3b98backed Over | 61c | 23.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2a7backed Over | 61c | 23.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 47c | 22.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4886backed Over | 61c | 21.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…3f71backed Over | 61c | 19.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…15f2backed Over | 61c | 19.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.