TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c23,964$10,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,727.6110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over55c21,574$11,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,865.6248451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over65c7,727$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c4,404$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.498,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Over62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2403655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under41c1,294$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.9111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c797.89$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.696,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under38c299$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.383,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c261.25$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012852.3%67 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c220.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.14,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under44c162.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.951,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over8c130.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.891,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over45c125.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.055,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under75c103.95$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.24,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under50c85.76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.886053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over40c85.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.043,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over64c67.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1311949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over59c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.492,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7816144.1%71 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b07…5f54backed Under53c48.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.816546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2815…7f0cbacked Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305961%36 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under38c48.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Under65c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.828966.3%59 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…90e5backed Over61c37.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.811546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick67cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Under39c37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.578050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under67c35.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8774657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…f320backed Over61c35.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e37…ac4abacked Over61c35.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.531764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed Under54c34.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.878556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b5…43f1backed Over61c34.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over61c33.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.592,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b00…64a2backed Over61c33.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb130…7767backed Over61c33.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Over40c33.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3914259.2%84 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2421…e2d0backed Over61c33.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd2…efbebacked Over61c33.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42d…4d66backed Over61c32.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf835…ec25backed Over61c32.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d69…cbc8backed Over61c32.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa826…a0ecbacked Over61c32.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7763…125abacked Over61c31.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4141…b90fbacked Over61c31.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.311464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2625…e320backed Over61c31.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.221668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…b8dcbacked Under47c31.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c1…5fe3backed Over61c31.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4bc…afb5backed Over61c31.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.971050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2655…77d2backed Over61c31.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.972272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f46…9f54backed Over61c31.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.961957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc52…5bd3backed Over61c31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911450%7 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…24a8backed Over61c30.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b04…95d7backed Over61c30.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.541172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…6da5backed Over61c30.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…ab5dbacked Over61c30.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.421060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e5…7347backed Over61c30.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x039d…390abacked Over61c29.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x192d…b95abacked Over61c29.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.121050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0d…1f81backed Over61c29.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.121850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…6d30backed Over61c29.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Under44c29.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3719756.9%112 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a6…f5d9backed Over61c28.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.572050%10 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe991…a082backed Over61c28.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea4e…aceabacked Over61c28.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.431050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2fd…8914backed Over61c28.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97cf…ad38backed Over61c28.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.321258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fcb…0694backed Over61c28.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.261060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf723…7835backed Over61c28.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x563d…94cabacked Over61c28.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.141070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…aa45backed Over61c27.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…df55backed Over61c27.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.91250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2355…572dbacked Over61c27.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781650%8 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc276…1c52backed Over61c27.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x65cf…5206backed Over61c27.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.712070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5da1…60b6backed Over61c27.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5574…f9fbbacked Over61c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.471764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614e…f65abacked Over61c26.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fa…bb82backed Over61c26.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac26…005fbacked Over61c25.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0e…7f2ebacked Over61c25.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdca7…0720backed Over61c25.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.431266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1bd…35a1backed Over61c24.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.071656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…cc49backed Over61c24.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2c…be40backed Under42c23.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.815048%24 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6111…3b98backed Over61c23.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8711…d2a7backed Over61c23.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under47c22.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9687370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa7a…4886backed Over61c21.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc153…3f71backed Over61c19.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ecc…15f2backed Over61c19.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.