TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64ff…e13e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT12428.2%35 W · 89 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$15.72
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$37.65
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twinsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$109.42
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twinsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$113.35
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kia Tigersbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.15
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+166.5%+$115.09
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$60.85
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twinsbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$51.68
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.06
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.11
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$19.44
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.82
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$140.75
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.27
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$173.47
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.8
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+248.6%+$245.32
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$177.45
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4035%14 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.24
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$28.38
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+241.5%+$176.78
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$19.66
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$47.66
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.81
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.24
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.34
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.24
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$38.25
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.46
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.17
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.65
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.64
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.84
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$40.86
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.65
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.29
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.51
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$37.43
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.7
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.63
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.56
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$306.17
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.4
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.47
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$13.86
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.48
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.77
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.04
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$17.86
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$288.95
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.13
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.3
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+397.3%+$388.7
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+311.8%+$739.03
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+287.9%+$259.77
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.26
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+95%+$541.13
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+399.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$50.22
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+201%+$23.37
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.88
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.