TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colombiaof Colombia, Ghana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,537,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,595,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,537,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 538 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3ac…b964backed Ghana20c950,001$190,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,000.155749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Colombia80c800,001$640,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,000.289142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Ghana19c750,320$140,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140,495.812,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Ghana21c304,747$62,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,8106524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Ghana19c255,555$49,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,555.4542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Ghana19c251,000$47,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,690.9415456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Colombia80c180,000$144,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,0003259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Ghana20c100,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Ghana10c100,000$9,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,901.6914843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Ghana7c87,254$6,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,504.447126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Ghana8c79,538$6,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,057.8915843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Colombia80c60,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0007839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colombia78c55,715$43,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,367.431,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…62b5backed Colombia80c55,000$44,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.994540%18 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Ghana20c50,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Ghana19c49,123$9,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,340.4629952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ghana9c39,426$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Ghana7c39,203$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.217433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Colombia80c37,500$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5004153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Ghana9c32,778$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9505328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Colombia80c30,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00013959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Colombia80c25,846$20,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.2214232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed Ghana4c21,039$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.387432.4%24 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Colombia80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0007549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Ghana20c20,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Ghana8c19,240$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.5537223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Ghana7c18,103$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.2458926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Ghana13c16,935$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19040239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Ghana8c16,700$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.5325244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Colombia80c15,096$12,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.2716357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Ghana1c14,868$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.114341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Ghana8c14,099$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.8131945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Ghana19c12,500$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40011637.1%43 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ba…bc23backed Ghana20c11,595$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.051040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Ghana14c11,110$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8515335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Ghana1c11,013$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.666929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Colombia78c10,402$8,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.3370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Ghana17c10,203$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4723…b601backed Ghana20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Ghana9c9,492$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.3128025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba48…6d5fbacked Ghana19c8,986$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Ghana7c8,717$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.5335034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Ghana9c8,554$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.2329333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Ghana8c7,995$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.2442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Ghana19c7,895$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8013…2a30backed Ghana19c7,360$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.351070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ghana10c7,359$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.9979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Colombia80c7,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Colombia80c6,400$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colombia79c6,400$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3282,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Colombia80c6,308$5,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.623748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Colombia80c6,119$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Colombia80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4b…fe64backed Ghana9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec2…4035backed Ghana20c5,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007518.7%14 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f75…1ec8backed Ghana19c5,250$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Ghana19c5,060$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.473426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ghana19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Ghana20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Colombia80c4,989$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.384459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Ghana9c4,951$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.2633337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Colombia79c4,773$3,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.581,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb135…f5b9backed Ghana22c4,546$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.014020%8 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Ghana19c4,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9933549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Ghana8c4,444$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5219020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Ghana19c4,211$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Ghana4c4,168$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Ghana5c4,140$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1711440.4%46 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ghana5c4,058$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.782,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6311…497abacked Colombia80c3,800$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7607748.1%37 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Colombia80c3,754$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.1721444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Colombia80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7505362.3%33 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Colombia80c3,697$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.462576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+52.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Ghana10c3,486$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.618633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Ghana10c3,307$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.669150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x822a…23a0backed Ghana20c3,150$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6308633.7%29 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked Ghana19c3,100$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5896221%13 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf19…cea7backed Ghana9c2,973$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Colombia80c2,800$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56047442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Ghana12c2,677$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2446230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Ghana9c2,574$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6615335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ghana9c2,540$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2184,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a3…1b53backed Ghana20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddcd…725fbacked Ghana1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25240%0 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked Ghana20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b7…6a99backed Ghana20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed Ghana19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4757643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked Colombia78c2,493$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.462236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…a616backed Ghana20c2,455$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…e409backed Ghana20c2,424$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.751822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-64.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Ghana8c2,359$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3324443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Ghana21c2,358$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Ghana5c2,358$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8820839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Colombia80c2,252$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.391,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Ghana20c2,168$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.42,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Ghana19c2,146$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.7621227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ca…1cefbacked Ghana19c2,105$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed Ghana19c2,089$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.834652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Ghana19c2,032$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3965648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Ghana1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12260%0 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.