TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under73c27,068$19,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,250.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c18,498$12,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,844.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c12,727$3,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,851.354,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over26c6,505$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under72c6,500$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.8110471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over26c6,036$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.5777845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over29c5,772$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.12,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c5,649$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.732,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over29c5,463$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.6423942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c4,483$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over24c3,267$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.722,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over28c2,789$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.792,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over19c2,718$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.561,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c2,664$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over28c2,597$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.022,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over20c2,448$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9619823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c2,152$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under63c2,144$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.8428251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over32c2,100$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.221,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over29c1,862$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over28c1,503$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.93,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Over27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40516633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7923353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c1,196$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.832,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Under71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2908453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Under72c935$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.011752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over31c896.64$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.952,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over35c844.27$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over36c801.26$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.371,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over27c758.07$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.253,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over35c699.44$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.621,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under72c687.08$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.791,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over35c654.09$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.81,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c6…3a8fbacked Under72c632$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9612100%12 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over33c606.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Over29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17418028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over28c535.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over26c512$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.121,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over27c502$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.021,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Under73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13521850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over28c499.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over17c468.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.091,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over21c459$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3992732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over22c451.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.122,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over34c429$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.891,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over43c424.33$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4663745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under71c372.19$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c367.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.183,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Under72c287.01$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.364517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under72c274.18$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7711748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over34c266.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.611,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under73c218.05$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.871,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over31c191.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0572247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over29c191$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3916136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over20c185.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a5d…1c3abacked Over29c171.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over24c154.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c9…dd6fbacked Under72c152.78$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7814262.7%89 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed Over41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.59819.4%19 W · 79 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5947…c7dcbacked Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8912443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c138$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.221,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over18c137.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.242,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under50c123$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.122,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over43c115$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4517448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under66c113.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under68c109.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.542554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe662…8954backed Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd3…aeddbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517248.3%83 W · 89 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2811854.2%64 W · 54 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3011…4f5bbacked Over28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283613.9%5 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-69.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d64…f266backed Over28c91.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.594042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under48c91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.322,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under76c87.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.221,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over38c86.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7842332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3daa…524bbacked Over29c82.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaadf…7cc1backed Over30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248852.3%46 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.626344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…1717backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ba…5096backed Over40c71.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.361741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…482abacked Under59c68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.168961.8%55 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under68c64.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.461,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over29c62.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0373234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over24c60.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.721,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over28c54.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2715751%80 W · 77 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x123d…1cabbacked Over32c52.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175230.8%16 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.