Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28c5c991041a14338350db2c47fcfcf286e88a0f59dee0f376dc20d33ba29e17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.95 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 58c | 7,779$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.78 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 42c | 7,767$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.48 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 7,298$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 756.46$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…8c93backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 346.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 277.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 43c | 249.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Under | 45c | 222.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 57c | 169.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Over | 59c | 166.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…a373backed Under | 42c | 154$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 57c | 145.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 58c | 121.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ed31backed Over | 59c | 115$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 100.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 42c | 96.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…3783backed Over | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 42c | 74.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 58c | 56.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 43c | 51.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…0a52backed Under | 44c | 45.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01e…db1fbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 56c | 42.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under | 41c | 37.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…6162backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcda9…ce0bbacked Over | 58c | 34.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Over | 58c | 31.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7d…058fbacked Under | 42c | 27.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Under | 43c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0884…f381backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…f176backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 57c | 17.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceColombia won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Ghana (-3.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.