TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,484 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under25c1,000$254 inWon+$746.420053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over71c832.17$591 inLost-$591.034,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c654.02$438 inLost-$438.171,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under23c409$94 inWon+$314.931,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over69c402.03$278 inLost-$278.32,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over66c366$240 inLost-$240.2422623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Under26c357.69$93 inWon+$264.698341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Over59c350$205 inLost-$205.514043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over64c267.43$171 inLost-$171.482,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under24c245$59 inWon+$186.3524947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under23c216.99$50 inWon+$167.0817448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over69c208.76$145 inLost-$144.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5de…c4a9backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost-$1009156%51 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under24c122$29 inWon+$92.7277051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over14c110.75$16 inLost-$15.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over12c107.51$12 inLost-$12.472,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under24c100$24 inWon+$762,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under24c98$24 inWon+$74.4879149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under36c95.52$34 inWon+$61.351,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x526e…2f84backed Over77c91$70 inLost-$707345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under24c81$19 inWon+$61.5641551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under24c80.17$19 inWon+$60.9345548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…2835backed Over78c64.14$50 inLost-$50425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick75cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under28c59$16 inWon+$42.6165036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under36c44.14$16 inWon+$28.251,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under36c35.86$13 inWon+$22.9534533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06c5…f7c1backed Over78c25.47$20 inLost-$19.871233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x184b…21f3backed Over79c25.44$20 inLost-$202871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under62c17.85$11 inWon+$6.722,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over74c15.86$12 inLost-$11.8120860.6%126 W · 82 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Over74c15.01$11 inLost-$11.117460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.