TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Ghana (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Colombiaof Ghana, Colombia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$589,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,464 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Ghana2c45,100$956 inLost-$9562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Ghana2c24,000$576 inLost-$5764221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Ghana2c21,024$500 inLost-$5001414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Ghana2c20,703$493 inLost-$493.412,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Ghana2c20,425$490 inLost-$490.213525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked Ghana3c18,000$504 inLost-$5043821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed Ghana2c10,900$229 inLost-$228.915229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Ghana2c8,238$173 inLost-$172.9921333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ghana1c5,657$35 inLost-$34.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Ghana2c5,000$120 inLost-$12010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ghana1c4,779$62 inLost-$62.131,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Ghana2c4,167$100 inLost-$10010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Ghana3c4,150$109 inLost-$109.4860511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…6073backed Ghana3c3,100$80 inLost-$79.540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ghana2c2,951$45 inLost-$45.462,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ghana2c2,711$58 inLost-$57.844,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Ghana2c2,250$55 inLost-$55.25348.8%3 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Ghana2c2,132$51 inLost-$51.172,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Ghana1c1,960$25 inLost-$25.237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Ghana2c1,571$38 inLost-$37.6931232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ghana3c1,188$30 inLost-$29.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Ghana2c1,061$24 inLost-$24.0795037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a4…5e8fbacked Ghana2c1,042$25 inLost-$254114.6%6 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Ghana1c1,000$13 inLost-$1325719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ghana1c966.74$10 inLost-$10.4971939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Ghana2c605$13 inLost-$13.387938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Ghana2c566.99$13 inLost-$12.723,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Ghana3c400$10 inLost-$109042.2%38 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.