Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf8a3de700e88e2bf44d0c00d30dc2327834ed8ab7bc6a5b1b3ce2ddaa7114e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 1c | 8,416$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 6,939$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 13c | 5,811$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.62 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 10c | 5,049$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.8 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 4,647$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.25 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f16…780cbacked Over | 15c | 4,372$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.4 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 14c | 3,043$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.97 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 12c | 2,100$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 12c | 1,049$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 699.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 10c | 626$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…8450backed Over | 12c | 482.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 382.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 10c | 381$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 12c | 376.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 13c | 261.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…52c7backed Over | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 194.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked Over | 13c | 190.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…6a97backed Over | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…5e9cbacked Over | 13c | 144.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…b4bbbacked Over | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 12c | 128.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 80c | 111$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 11c | 109$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 324 | 33.6%109 W · 215 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…828fbacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5this page
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceColombia won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Ghana (-3.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.