TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,611 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c8,669$612 inLost-$612.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c5,566$413 inLost-$413.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c4,339$248 inLost-$248.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over10c4,293$412 inLost-$411.9533438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over10c2,964$300 inLost-$30089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over11c1,818$200 inLost-$20031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c1,798$186 inLost-$185.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b4…55a0backed Over10c1,620$162 inLost-$162742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over9c1,500$135 inLost-$1353,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over9c1,353$122 inLost-$121.733,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c1,284$77 inLost-$77.4551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over10c1,176$120 inLost-$12037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c946$81 inLost-$80.881,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over7c860.86$64 inLost-$64.3164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46d…d125backed Over11c499.98$56 inLost-$563520%7 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over13c353.23$46 inLost-$45.632,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over15c335.65$50 inLost-$5028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over9c329.74$29 inLost-$29.433,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over9c311.56$28 inLost-$28.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over10c300$30 inLost-$3012419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over11c200$22 inLost-$2245421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf596…45e8backed Over11c185.18$20 inLost-$20.378144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f52…eb8bbacked Over13c160$20 inLost-$203020%6 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over9c159$14 inLost-$14.311,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over11c136.36$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.