TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f52…eb8b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3020%6 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.52
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+578%+$109.81
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.72
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$43.56
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Will Canada win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will United States win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$210.28
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-79.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.46
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$107.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.