Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebab523348fd171ef7b182a1f3bae95577ad4425bf4b10b78e3692602e95e0bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 45,509$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 22,800$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.64 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 6c | 6,323$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.09 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Under | 66c | 3,631$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.58 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 6c | 3,527$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 1,876$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 3c | 1,524$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…237cbacked Under | 66c | 912.82$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 3c | 592.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 64c | 526.79$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.28 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 5c | 505$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over | 8c | 369$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 362.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 28c | 354$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Under | 75c | 332.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Over | 36c | 273.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Under | 65c | 232$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 7c | 223.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 20c | 183.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 74c | 154.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 165 | 56.4%93 W · 72 L | -17.5wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 15c | 137$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Over | 37c | 134.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Under | 64c | 132$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Over | 16c | 124.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…dee2backed Over | 36c | 123.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…022bbacked Over | 37c | 107.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 29c | 98.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 27c | 80.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 64c | 59.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…eb8bbacked Over | 37c | 53.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 220 | 58.2%128 W · 92 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…d772backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 72c | 49.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under | 68c | 46.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…eb1abacked Over | 35c | 29.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Under | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…5219backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…f188backed Under | 64c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5this page
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.