TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,281,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,600,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,281,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 709 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7225…659abacked Under41c1,092,905$452,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,090.972846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over58c811,478$469,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,748.2374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over63c476,804$299,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177,346.8415552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under37c420,000$156,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,031.115249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Over60c248,047$148,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,477.322864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under40c241,859$96,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,743.4333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Under42c200,000$84,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,999.922729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over58c149,650$86,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,852.8442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Under42c100,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,999.883246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under49c90,000$44,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,10017550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over58c85,610$49,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,956.3722348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over58c80,000$46,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,60014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c68,251$21,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,278.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c60,796$37,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,975.743,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Under42c50,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under44c46,326$20,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,255.1477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over63c44,765$28,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,493.072,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over63c42,411$26,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,764.081,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over62c39,930$24,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,153.281,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under38c38,400$14,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,59220844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over59c35,000$20,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,46012825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over58c25,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50011642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c19,058$9,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,128.9542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over58c19,000$11,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9051,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Over58c15,556$9,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,533.333938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over59c14,959$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,059.049846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over58c14,306$8,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,008.361,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over59c12,787$7,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,234.232,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over59c11,275$6,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.261,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over68c10,311$7,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.371,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91af…9a27backed Over77c10,157$7,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.214548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over64c9,936$6,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,563.523,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Over58c9,252$5,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,886.012250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under37c8,141$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.1713543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25d5…104bbacked Over59c8,053$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.71250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under42c7,917$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Over64c7,830$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under48c6,674$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.6464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over63c6,521$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.7770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over63c5,446$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.0265835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.757636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over60c5,037$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.981,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1005219.2%10 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-52.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0108…0d26backed Over58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a00…159dbacked Over57c4,390$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.832462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Over59c4,237$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.299549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under28c3,931$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.995541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under28c3,572$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Over59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.837630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87d6…d1e7backed Over59c3,111$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.672540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over58c3,050$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28130431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c3,038$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.782,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2603253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over64c2,835$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.8974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Under36c2,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9918738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over56c2,695$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.9289443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over72c2,667$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over67c2,616$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.122,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under42c2,396$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under40c2,334$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.5248441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…21b4backed Over59c2,333$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9652642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under39c2,308$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90043737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under40c2,259$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.3447643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over60c2,200$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.9952744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e6…86b1backed Over59c2,034$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.911044.5%49 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over63c2,022$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Under38c2,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75033549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Over59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8204456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Under37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.955628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Over60c1,935$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.6418839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Over58c1,897$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.5517950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over61c1,853$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.661,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.145356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over61c1,706$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.12,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over59c1,697$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.6116637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over59c1,688$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.6295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over59c1,669$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.3721442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.318435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.317453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over52c1,556$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.4175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under40c1,502$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.4447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…9b10backed Over59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6157537.3%28 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over59c1,499$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.2167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over58c1,460$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.233149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Over58c1,379$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.314327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under40c1,347$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5372,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over63c1,320$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49558942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.76261.3%38 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over72c1,255$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.97040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…0824backed Over64c1,250$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506155.7%34 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under40c1,232$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0350243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over58c1,231$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.836648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over64c1,220$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.852455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x842c…6674backed Under41c1,219$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.993246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under34c1,183$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Under38c1,152$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.7626216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.