TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moroccoof Morocco, Haiti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,350,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,714,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,350,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,834 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd66e…051fbacked Haiti49c7,461,479$3,656,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,656,239.7280%0 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd650…14fbbacked Haiti51c5,421,067$2,747,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747,103.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Morocco49c2,090,031$1,030,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060,020.4377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe22a…2703backed Morocco52c1,923,076$1,000,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923,076.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67a…f0b6backed Morocco51c1,331,443$680,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651,343.652123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Morocco50c947,797$474,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472,850.6111642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Morocco49c721,507$355,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366,337.5774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Morocco49c605,500$295,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309,74015456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Morocco49c500,000$245,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255,0002646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Morocco50c485,169$240,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245,007.0764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Morocco51c469,997$239,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230,698.515959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Morocco49c408,163$200,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208,163.132147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Haiti49c400,000$197,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,0002729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Morocco50c303,308$150,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,170.598440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Morocco49c297,828$145,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,892.2820955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Morocco53c297,076$156,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,696.44143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Morocco50c225,000$113,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,7505749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Morocco49c202,041$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,040.8219644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Morocco38c157,234$59,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,335.842,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Haiti70c149,153$104,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,592.774870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Morocco52c143,348$74,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,877.543458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Morocco50c139,795$69,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,077.5715843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Morocco52c133,332$69,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,508.1311647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdd…c4cbbacked Morocco49c120,000$58,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,200988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick50cpaid+75.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Morocco54c120,000$64,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,199.9822348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Morocco51c118,649$60,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,14422139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Morocco43c107,807$46,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,480.8221029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Morocco49c106,123$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,122.6118738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Haiti52c100,000$52,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f9…8615backed Morocco53c97,662$51,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,901.341850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Morocco58c92,562$53,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,792.281,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Morocco57c73,050$41,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,396.242,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Morocco59c72,398$42,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,406.562,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Haiti53c70,182$36,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,940.9517550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d8…0c91backed Morocco53c67,643$35,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,863.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Morocco52c64,164$33,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,498.917851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3607…d3ffbacked Haiti73c63,211$46,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,009.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Morocco52c61,847$32,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,686.568349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Morocco52c58,921$30,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,282.3813448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Haiti45c58,138$26,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,162.0414843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Haiti46c54,201$24,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,989.833933.3%13 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Haiti36c52,999$19,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,079.7517949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Morocco45c46,365$20,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,587.5226320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Haiti48c44,427$21,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,538.583,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0769…3690backed Morocco50c44,426$22,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,213.062360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Morocco51c42,494$21,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,757.0351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Haiti46c41,547$19,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,110.385745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f557backed Morocco51c37,883$19,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,433.791533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Haiti45c37,790$17,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,149.2810849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Morocco56c37,557$21,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,496.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Haiti48c37,482$18,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,130.583,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Haiti39c36,080$14,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,071.220844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7e…9056backed Morocco52c35,760$18,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,164.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Haiti38c35,000$13,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,299.8627039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Morocco50c34,040$17,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,919.246448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Morocco64c33,747$21,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,233.918158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Morocco53c31,993$17,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,906.429525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Morocco65c30,769$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,769.2311645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Haiti39c30,002$11,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,779.958348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Morocco50c28,900$14,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,35914553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Haiti41c28,719$11,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,637.7724058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Haiti37c28,053$10,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,320.676953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Morocco51c26,951$13,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,281.7765835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Morocco39c25,592$9,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,638.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Morocco63c25,000$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,249.998735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Morocco49c24,676$12,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,539.641,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Morocco53c24,528$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,528.314727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Morocco55c22,500$12,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,124.9910840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Morocco49c22,222$10,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,333.2221836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Morocco50c21,500$10,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,66513259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Morocco49c20,408$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.167035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Morocco50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0008063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Morocco51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Morocco50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00014055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Morocco62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6009645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Morocco39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Haiti39c18,800$7,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,33227345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Morocco24c18,569$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,088.611,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Morocco50c18,000$8,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,02013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Haiti47c17,000$7,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,99018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Morocco65c16,718$10,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,857.2720856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Haiti45c16,241$7,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,383.5228162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Morocco62c16,129$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.039045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Morocco57c15,999$9,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,879.576943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Morocco31c15,790$4,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,825.0153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Morocco52c15,295$7,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,341.65843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Morocco50c14,821$7,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,410.4320333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Haiti45c14,594$6,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,631.088251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Morocco36c14,296$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,182.925939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Morocco51c14,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,90022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Morocco44c13,882$6,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,814.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Haiti46c13,800$6,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,348.94348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f3…f18ebacked Haiti46c13,775$6,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,336.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Morocco51c13,537$6,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,633.258048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Morocco51c13,300$6,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5245653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Morocco73c13,020$9,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.6575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Morocco51c12,500$6,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,12574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Haiti46c12,198$5,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.97545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Morocco51c12,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,88029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Morocco35c11,848$4,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,701.274841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.