Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9249ae400986f063fac4dc640312b5b065900a302e52e7afb0700886e23cd31c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 0c | 36,265$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Over | 13c | 17,726$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.34 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 1c | 8,013$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 9c | 4,425$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.3 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 3,572$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.9 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 2c | 3,362$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 9c | 2,718$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.62 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 7c | 1,385$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 2c | 1,336$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Over | 12c | 1,328$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Over | 13c | 1,100$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 8c | 1,014$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 3c | 981.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 814.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 12c | 806.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 7c | 702.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 8c | 671.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 4c | 649.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 5c | 639.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 32cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 10c | 581.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Over | 9c | 539.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…6ad3backed Over | 9c | 499.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…72b6backed Over | 12c | 430$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…09a7backed Over | 8c | 417.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 8c | 364$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Over | 12c | 336.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…8cd8backed Over | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 11c | 152.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 17c | 144.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 9c | 134.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 12c | 127.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…5c72backed Over | 12c | 107.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Over | 12c | 88.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…bc44backed Over | 12c | 86.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Over | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5this page
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-4.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Morocco (-5.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.