TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,817 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c2,129$831 inLost-$830.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over73c1,373$1,002 inWon+$370.7116139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Under51c984.22$500 inLost-$5005350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Under49c401.49$198 inLost-$197.726426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over50c386.63$195 inWon+$191.6319939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c371.68$267 inWon+$104.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over58c319.97$184 inWon+$135.8910753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Over45c287.22$129 inWon+$157.975127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under28c239.15$67 inLost-$66.9695739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over71c223.94$159 inWon+$64.947347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under40c214.5$86 inLost-$85.853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Over60c205.89$124 inWon+$82.369237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon+$10019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c187.93$53 inLost-$52.864,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over60c167$100 inWon+$66.85745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under29c157.29$45 inLost-$45.351,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon+$36.9943246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x455d…6011backed Over72c105.28$76 inWon+$29.487057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecc…2174backed Over70c100$70 inWon+$303164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over55c100$55 inWon+$4532642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x703e…9828backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon+$31.972045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon+$21.436665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2616…1a0dbacked Over72c69.44$50 inWon+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under27c67$18 inLost-$18.283,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under27c57.82$16 inLost-$15.523,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02c…1bc5backed Over70c51.63$36 inWon+$15.492850%14 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50df…597dbacked Over70c50.57$35 inWon+$15.177557.3%43 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over50c50$25 inWon+$2526344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4325…324dbacked Over73c39.73$29 inWon+$10.738762.1%54 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under56c35.95$20 inLost-$208955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over70c35.71$25 inWon+$10.7111563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over45c34.76$16 inWon+$19.1448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1c…98e8backed Over71c30$21 inWon+$8.75863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c626backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon+$7.781662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Over70c27.14$19 inWon+$8.149459.6%56 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c26$12 inLost-$11.71,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ff…572cbacked Over72c20.83$15 inWon+$5.832665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over70c18$13 inWon+$5.43,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.