TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x41ff…572c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6076.7%46 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+18.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$8.53
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$11.45
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$22.95
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.77
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$19.52
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$92.91
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+58%+$57.98
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$32.24
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$105.56
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.