TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz24c21,361$5,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,061.351,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons78c10,009$7,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.282,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c2…421bbacked Team Falcons68c9,031$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.217057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked TheMongolz22c6,371$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons79c4,572$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.0344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz32c3,407$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.122,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4369…2441backed Team Falcons75c3,175$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed Team Falcons75c2,672$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.76347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz31c2,467$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.71,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Falcons72c2,373$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.8469445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed TheMongolz32c2,339$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.497040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked TheMongolz32c1,851$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3524746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed TheMongolz19c1,738$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2910036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed TheMongolz30c1,700$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.7211341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Team Falcons72c1,384$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.0419061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked TheMongolz33c1,259$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed TheMongolz11c1,111$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.212810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed Team Falcons68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3815150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Falcons80c1,003$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.424,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked TheMongolz32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed TheMongolz32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked TheMongolz16c859.69$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.193,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Team Falcons71c841.17$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5322241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed TheMongolz18c837.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.819468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x62fa…461abacked Team Falcons69c713.99$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TheMongolz25c670$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.533,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked TheMongolz31c645.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed Team Falcons69c581.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.96173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked TheMongolz32c560$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.211546.1%53 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed TheMongolz37c516.75$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2431654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Team Falcons73c459.06$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0375245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed TheMongolz18c451.93$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6140264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed TheMongolz32c448.24$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4414546.9%68 W · 77 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked TheMongolz36c445$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9114247.2%67 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed TheMongolz18c430.25$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7616354%88 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Team Falcons64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14437557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Team Falcons70c366.7$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0168753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz6c320.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.213,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed TheMongolz33c318.66$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.161,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked TheMongolz21c315$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.831,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Team Falcons74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7841475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz24c298$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.345,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed TheMongolz23c255$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6521143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Falcons79c250$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.661034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz21c234$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.142,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons62c211.54$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3836645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c72…1eaebacked TheMongolz24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506048.3%29 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked TheMongolz23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.82,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78c…fbfdbacked TheMongolz13c192.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x382c…c88bbacked Team Falcons69c177.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.223164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed Team Falcons77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.315052%78 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed TheMongolz10c155$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0210129.7%30 W · 71 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TheMongolz23c153$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.842,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked TheMongolz9c140$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.528037.9%106 W · 174 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed TheMongolz7c139.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2272139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed TheMongolz32c135.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4213050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked TheMongolz30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3639338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked TheMongolz30c119.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.774951%25 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4670…5042backed TheMongolz17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz36c113.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.492,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Team Falcons74c113$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.920447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed TheMongolz10c110.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8824756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TheMongolz22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9172353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed TheMongolz33c94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0245646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed Team Falcons70c88.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5217054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed TheMongolz20c88.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Team Falcons68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2426650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed TheMongolz16c83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.282,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed TheMongolz25c82.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.428937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons75c79.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.787,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4da…3f9dbacked TheMongolz33c79.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.132835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons71c75.23$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.145,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed Team Falcons70c75.09$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.732744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed TheMongolz32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432554.8%178 W · 147 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked TheMongolz33c72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6849536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb16c…4ceabacked Team Falcons70c71.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8215756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21e…9183backed TheMongolz31c63.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.712751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked TheMongolz21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5337922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeded…c546backed TheMongolz32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc839…bd21backed TheMongolz33c58.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed TheMongolz35c57.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010626.4%28 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Team Falcons71c56.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4514661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Team Falcons69c49.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3210663.2%67 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e96…e128backed TheMongolz33c47.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.836549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked TheMongolz27c45.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b2…633abacked Team Falcons68c44.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.196165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Team Falcons75c37.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.532,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ff…572cbacked Team Falcons69c36.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.456076.7%46 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+18.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Team Falcons68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.214940.3%60 W · 89 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x627c…d170backed Team Falcons69c31.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.874100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed TheMongolz32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039840.5%161 W · 237 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a56…be30backed TheMongolz36c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820651.9%107 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked Team Falcons69c29.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0933362.2%207 W · 126 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Team Falcons73c27.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.470042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbb…ff81backed Team Falcons73c26.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.12152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons77c24.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.464,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…4737backed Team Falcons67c22.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3512176%92 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed Team Falcons67c18.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.057572%54 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd955…d1b3backed Team Falcons74c17.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Team Falcons78c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3817360.1%104 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.