TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$395,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$426,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed TheMongolz22c98,962$21,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,771.6325355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed Team Falcons78c91,794$71,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,194.613666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Team Falcons78c10,041$7,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.895759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked TheMongolz17c9,379$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.1722129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons79c9,220$7,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.442,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed TheMongolz22c8,244$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.5888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed TheMongolz20c7,216$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.9940264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed TheMongolz20c7,174$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.219468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x95c2…421bbacked Team Falcons78c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.267057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked TheMongolz22c6,123$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.9225655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons79c5,502$4,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.5544957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked TheMongolz34c4,453$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.2541040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4369…2441backed Team Falcons77c3,944$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons77c3,900$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.461,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TheMongolz23c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8051,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed TheMongolz23c2,826$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.0112055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz25c2,584$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.71,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons74c2,462$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.0787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3230…f430backed TheMongolz34c2,115$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.171421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons73c2,043$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.311,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons77c2,004$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.3538868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Team Falcons76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Team Falcons77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked TheMongolz23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed TheMongolz24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48015838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…50f0backed TheMongolz25c1,936$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.091216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Team Falcons79c1,870$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6130153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons75c1,855$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.352,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked TheMongolz15c1,812$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz24c1,791$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.162,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Falcons66c1,777$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.182,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked TheMongolz14c1,665$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.433,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Falcons75c1,511$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.8246149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz19c1,429$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.475,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Team Falcons77c1,314$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2615749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked TheMongolz24c1,292$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.081540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed TheMongolz13c1,287$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2610036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz17c1,214$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked TheMongolz17c1,132$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0416142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed TheMongolz18c1,118$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed TheMongolz3c1,111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.332810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked TheMongolz24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0820041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked TheMongolz24c1,019$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9540137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed TheMongolz23c1,015$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4521854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked TheMongolz25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked TheMongolz20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Team Falcons74c999.99$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25624562%152 W · 93 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed Team Falcons77c968.68$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.85446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed TheMongolz24c899.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9510449%51 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TheMongolz24c840$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.23,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c2…190bbacked TheMongolz23c834.28$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.76643.9%29 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Team Falcons79c814.1$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.436440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Team Falcons77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18422241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed TheMongolz17c799$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5710129.7%30 W · 71 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked TheMongolz23c750$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.511546.1%53 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed TheMongolz28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed TheMongolz16c700$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11244939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked TheMongolz21c666.59$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.821,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7d…df55backed Team Falcons76c625$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TheMongolz26c605.7$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6639970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked TheMongolz28c604.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2132832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cf…427fbacked TheMongolz24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6810…1c7dbacked Team Falcons70c587.56$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.732969%20 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed TheMongolz23c583$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2535054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked TheMongolz33c565.94$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2225045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78c…fbfdbacked Team Falcons74c541.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.114537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked TheMongolz15c534.9$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.763,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked Team Falcons75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Team Falcons70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed TheMongolz22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Team Falcons77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11537557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Team Falcons75c491.56$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1646165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Team Falcons68c454.85$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.554553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344e…019ebacked TheMongolz7c444.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010014%14 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked TheMongolz22c437.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.47255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked TheMongolz16c436$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.678240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed TheMongolz24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015448.7%75 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Team Falcons77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9224447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz24c398$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.115,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaa3…ff46backed TheMongolz24c385.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.183315.2%5 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-65.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7787…bf58backed TheMongolz28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked TheMongolz16c338.46$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4652834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed TheMongolz15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014041.4%58 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Team Falcons77c320$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.627156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Team Falcons75c319.13$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9912637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Team Falcons78c302.04$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4527961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TheMongolz18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3972353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons73c299.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9930259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked TheMongolz18c279$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0512348.8%60 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Team Falcons77c277.82$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.98855.7%49 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed Team Falcons75c260$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2915052%78 W · 72 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked TheMongolz19c257.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1828037.9%106 W · 174 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Team Falcons76c243.12$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3535449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Team Falcons77c234.23$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2875245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382c…c88bbacked Team Falcons76c230.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.553164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Falcons67c227.21$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.211,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked TheMongolz20c227$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4544641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4670…5042backed Team Falcons78c223.64$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Falcons77c216.44$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3861054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.