CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a9ddae01cce7abb0e7971a776d9f8d6c2057ecb8ca2123d0a0ab570dae01dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 40c | 1,646$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 59c | 998.98$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.58 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 59c | 795.23$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 60c | 755$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Under | 59c | 716.59$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.8 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 58c | 482.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 59c | 247.87$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…acb0backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Over | 42c | 230.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Over | 41c | 187.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 59c | 75.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Over | 42c | 72.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 42c | 72.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 51.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 59c | 49.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 26c | 42.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 62c | 41.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 34.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 60c | 31.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…87e7backed Over | 42c | 26.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 59c | 23.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…cee0backed Under | 61c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.