TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$799,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,013,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $799,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1610…ae49backed TheMongolz8c204,757$16,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,378.3913548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked Team Falcons80c151,267$120,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,976.562060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed TheMongolz22c75,043$16,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,509.420153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz20c44,439$8,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,693.481,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed TheMongolz21c35,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.984238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TheMongolz21c32,988$7,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,039.245,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…1fadbacked Team Falcons78c27,436$21,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,035.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked TheMongolz23c27,117$6,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,176.6314145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked Team Falcons77c21,163$16,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.471861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked TheMongolz13c20,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002941.4%12 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+84.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7819…bdb0backed Team Falcons78c16,864$13,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.151338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed TheMongolz11c13,416$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.951,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed TheMongolz21c13,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed TheMongolz20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00060853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed TheMongolz22c7,817$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.151,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons78c5,316$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.5264852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed TheMongolz7c5,110$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.4511341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed TheMongolz20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00059055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked TheMongolz22c3,800$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.9911346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Falcons78c3,500$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons78c3,446$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.392,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed TheMongolz9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed Team Falcons78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.16173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3708…b397backed Team Falcons78c2,542$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Team Falcons79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons78c2,440$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.51,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Team Falcons78c2,436$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.948350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed TheMongolz22c2,415$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a79…eedabacked TheMongolz22c2,400$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.991435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed TheMongolz20c2,249$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.7727045.9%124 W · 146 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed TheMongolz21c2,097$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5845854.8%251 W · 207 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Team Falcons79c2,060$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.622843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked TheMongolz21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TheMongolz20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked TheMongolz21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed TheMongolz21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Team Falcons78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44020859.6%124 W · 84 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Team Falcons78c1,899$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.723641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Team Falcons80c1,875$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37511540.9%47 W · 68 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked TheMongolz22c1,705$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37552236.8%192 W · 330 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed TheMongolz22c1,695$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.14654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed TheMongolz19c1,534$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7596740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons78c1,526$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6548548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed TheMongolz8c1,450$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11635054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Team Falcons78c1,420$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.427740.8%113 W · 164 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Team Falcons78c1,410$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.25466.7%36 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8370…cd4fbacked Team Falcons80c1,381$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.411625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Team Falcons78c1,326$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.75366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Team Falcons78c1,300$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28617967.6%121 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Team Falcons78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0511564.3%74 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked TheMongolz25c1,218$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Falcons78c1,042$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4661054.6%333 W · 277 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Team Falcons78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22011844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked TheMongolz20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015849.4%78 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked TheMongolz21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed TheMongolz21c943.4$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1146354%250 W · 213 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Team Falcons77c913.99$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2213244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed TheMongolz20c900$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked TheMongolz23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed TheMongolz12c840$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010140.6%41 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Falcons78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2335745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked TheMongolz21c756.81$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9342050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed TheMongolz5c743.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.22810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Team Falcons78c698.08$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.589944.4%44 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed TheMongolz7c691.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519534.7%33 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x314c…975fbacked Team Falcons78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.035971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f5…24adbacked Team Falcons78c637.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Team Falcons79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9115862.7%99 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed TheMongolz14c621.53$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3767645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked TheMongolz8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489734%33 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed TheMongolz21c576.19$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12116947.3%80 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Team Falcons78c547.44$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.444866.7%32 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked TheMongolz22c524.45$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.889837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Team Falcons79c507.03$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0340048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Team Falcons78c505$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.119652%102 W · 94 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Team Falcons75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12512253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked TheMongolz21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-51.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked TheMongolz22c499.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11029739.4%117 W · 180 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdcc…cf59backed TheMongolz10c469.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked TheMongolz8c450$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked Team Falcons78c446.58$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2519259.4%114 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a8…0f9cbacked TheMongolz23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed TheMongolz23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3dc…4a67backed TheMongolz23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb095…8cd5backed TheMongolz7c430$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1728…08f4backed TheMongolz23c419.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.43323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons78c403.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.881,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Team Falcons78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8825446.1%117 W · 137 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked TheMongolz20c389.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.222455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Team Falcons79c380.02$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.748251.7%249 W · 233 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed TheMongolz22c370.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.510647.2%50 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c0…718fbacked TheMongolz13c341.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.924630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons78c336.73$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5832552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed TheMongolz8c313.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8918624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Team Falcons78c306$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.327754.5%42 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6338954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked TheMongolz14c268.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.337322.3%83 W · 290 L-42.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked TheMongolz20c264$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.825252%131 W · 121 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.