TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e3a…9e14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
450
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Boxing, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT9552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.98
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.59
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.8
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.98
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$205.75
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$456.27
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$201.44
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$315.34
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$210.07
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$368
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,576Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+79%+$2,823.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$1,400.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$4,441.71
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$827.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.35
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT6127.9%17 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.8
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.59
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+259.5%+$189.7
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$364.99
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$328.14
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.45
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.54
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$738
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,116
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.54
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.99
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.24
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$256
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$314.1
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.74
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.1
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.52
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$140
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$414
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$994
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,808.8
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$797.99
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.99
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,216
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$909.98
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,995Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,504.97
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,156
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$468
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,650
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatekbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$754
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.99
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Fariabacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$767.98
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverevbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodarbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$818.98
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stagebacked Peladona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$359.99
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Abacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$55.15
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bebop (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Permitta Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$354
Counter-Strike: Color vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$138
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$214.99
Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Abacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$219.99
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.01
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$298.99
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.03
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.6
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$181
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.72
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$102.3
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,093.42
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$71.6
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29%+$231.68
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$251.1
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.18
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$184.8
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.03
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$216.32
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.39
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+203%+$201
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+74.3%+$170.5
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+181.1%+$451
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$291.22
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$155.45
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+509.8%+$250.8
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+30.8%+$165
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$253.92
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35.52
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$155.43
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+176%+$892.97
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,089.8
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$576.42
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.8
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,754Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$1,413.72
All 19 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-74.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.6
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.3
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.7
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.98
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$147.28
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$72.23
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.5%+$331
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$179.5
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$65
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54.2
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25.1%+$69.69
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$88.3
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+85.1%+$285
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$187.99
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,667Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25.6%+$683.04
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+27.6%+$118.48
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+30.5%+$135.4
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+30.7%+$352
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$661.95
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,008Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.6%+$1,931.49
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$145.6
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+44.3%+$767.79
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+271.1%+$154.56
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$743.44
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+66.7%+$60
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+68.8%+$607.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+45.4%+$151.05
Will "Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54.25
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.99
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$95.99
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.4%+$134
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+51.5%+$136
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+43.5%+$137.95
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$141
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$464
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-73.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$497.29
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$90
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$444.81
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+52.2%+$137.2
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$81.6
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.44
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$140
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$264
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32.25
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$146.4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$974
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$309.5
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$272
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$989.9
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+65.2%+$651
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$124
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+43.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+254%+$574
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+715.2%+$1,316
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.47
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$260
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$488.8
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,678Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.1%+$470.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+197%+$398
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+82%+$328.91
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.3%+$294.2
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.7%+$94
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$56.57
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+49.5%+$325.07
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,699Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+62.4%+$1,685.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-80.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.11
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$284.55
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$463.94
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$448.46
Will Poland record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$329.13
Will Hungary record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.71
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-75.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-77.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$219
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$53.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.44
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$244
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+36.7%+$188
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$32.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.