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UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)

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UFCStart: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Result

UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card) (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Tom Nolan won. Renato Moicano: 6 wallets, $1,019 · Tom Nolan: 5 wallets, $765 5 of 11 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of UFC when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of UFC when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x30f6…004f#2 on the boardTom Nolanwon (open this pick)$1123c+$36.3165
0xf555…3608#8 on the boardRenato Moicanolost (open this pick)$5055c-$5063
0x610b…36a3#13 on the boardTom Nolanwon (open this pick)$13344c+$16762
0x83b8…c300#25 on the boardTom Nolanwon (open this pick)$27345c+$333.6761
0x662a…150e#27 on the boardRenato Moicanolost (open this pick)$10054c-$10061
0xdb1c…2679#28 on the boardTom Nolanwon (open this pick)$4235c+$78.2561
0xc1d9…5333#34 on the boardTom Nolanwon (open this pick)$30639c+$485.4160
0xb0b3…6bf7#59 on the boardRenato Moicanolost (open this pick)$10053c-$10059
0x8956…755f#64 on the boardRenato Moicanolost (open this pick)$5252c-$5259
0xc1aa…b4be#85 on the boardRenato Moicanolost (open this pick)$60074c-$60058
0x16fa…4ba6#116 on the boardRenato Moicanolost (open this pick)$11755c-$116.7558

5 other settled markets of this event are not shown: no top wallet of the time held a qualified pick on them.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.