TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x662a…150e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$155.72
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$208.27
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$218.53
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$159.31
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$158.02
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group Dbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$152.5
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.83
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.67
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$167.44
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.33
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-Inbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.35
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$82.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming Academy (+1.5)backed paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$166.11
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$187.72
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$51.48
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 4 Winnerbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$70.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$68.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.