TailMyPicks

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UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jeisla Chavesof Yuneisy Duben, Jeisla Chaves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$740,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,073,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Jeisla Chaves71c323,523$229,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,832.947454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yuneisy Duben29c185,800$53,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,8829240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yuneisy Duben29c60,264$17,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,473.815149%25 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yuneisy Duben26c24,982$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.4537152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Yuneisy Duben29c20,016$5,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,804.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yuneisy Duben29c13,318$3,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,854.5729133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yuneisy Duben29c5,710$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.8414551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yuneisy Duben30c4,710$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.8710035%35 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Yuneisy Duben27c4,482$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.6316244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Yuneisy Duben29c3,441$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.897452.7%39 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Jeisla Chaves69c3,401$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.3813452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Yuneisy Duben5c3,081$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b7…fd93backed Yuneisy Duben0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Yuneisy Duben4c2,492$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.396142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Yuneisy Duben29c2,240$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.67244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yuneisy Duben31c2,150$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.535826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Jeisla Chaves69c2,067$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.131020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Yuneisy Duben28c2,022$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.067159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Jeisla Chaves74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52022661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Yuneisy Duben30c1,968$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.076048.3%29 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed Yuneisy Duben29c1,959$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.084035%14 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yuneisy Duben21c1,955$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.141442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Yuneisy Duben29c1,833$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.575330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yuneisy Duben29c1,768$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51426140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…8e5abacked Yuneisy Duben4c1,733$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Jeisla Chaves71c1,700$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4933571.4%25 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yuneisy Duben29c1,679$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48720248.5%98 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Yuneisy Duben6c1,629$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014132.6%46 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Jeisla Chaves71c1,467$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.327862.8%49 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yuneisy Duben23c1,180$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4220837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x897a…4194backed Yuneisy Duben37c1,037$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a6…03abbacked Yuneisy Duben5c1,005$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Jeisla Chaves73c1,000$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.338458.3%49 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Jeisla Chaves71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29036655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed Yuneisy Duben5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2eb…83b2backed Yuneisy Duben5c982.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.612025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3d…bacdbacked Yuneisy Duben29c848.72$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.13520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Yuneisy Duben29c833$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.578622.1%19 W · 67 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Jeisla Chaves74c790.75$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.475273.1%38 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+40.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Jeisla Chaves73c737.49$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8490553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yuneisy Duben3c732.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.235230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Yuneisy Duben2c729.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.528826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jeisla Chaves72c727.87$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.815933.3%53 W · 106 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Jeisla Chaves70c700$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Yuneisy Duben6c697.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.344748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yuneisy Duben2c671.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4435848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571e…ae3bbacked Jeisla Chaves70c634.17$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yuneisy Duben3c608.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2716955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yuneisy Duben28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1687237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf5f…b574backed Yuneisy Duben26c584.73$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.336262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Yuneisy Duben17c580.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016156.5%91 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Yuneisy Duben19c577.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Jeisla Chaves70c574.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.067263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Jeisla Chaves72c573.61$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Yuneisy Duben31c565.16$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.22948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yuneisy Duben2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106963.8%44 W · 25 L+11.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yuneisy Duben31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a3d…d7d5backed Jeisla Chaves73c473.23$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yuneisy Duben4c400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Yuneisy Duben12c400$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4922342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Jeisla Chaves66c385.08$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.848851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yuneisy Duben12c368$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3251533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Yuneisy Duben29c350$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.513940.3%56 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Yuneisy Duben29c350$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.56732.8%22 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b02…0933backed Yuneisy Duben15c323.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Yuneisy Duben31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Yuneisy Duben31c312.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.881942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a51…1933backed Jeisla Chaves78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a1…393abacked Yuneisy Duben31c283.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Jeisla Chaves70c275.11$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.537068.6%48 W · 22 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Jeisla Chaves71c253.52$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.521952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…a55ebacked Yuneisy Duben27c249.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.511652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8959…68e2backed Yuneisy Duben31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756142.6%26 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…e8c1backed Yuneisy Duben25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38d0…5ea8backed Yuneisy Duben10c230$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.114330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yuneisy Duben26c220$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.912541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Jeisla Chaves70c207.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1418647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecd…f54ebacked Jeisla Chaves73c206$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.962462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Yuneisy Duben5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Jeisla Chaves73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412038.3%46 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Jeisla Chaves72c198.53$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.331952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yuneisy Duben31c190.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b31…b2a3backed Yuneisy Duben30c175.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jeisla Chaves77c175.88$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3127448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Yuneisy Duben29c170.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x583d…d79bbacked Yuneisy Duben30c169.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.84837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Yuneisy Duben28c169.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.253141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Jeisla Chaves70c162.13$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.649352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Yuneisy Duben31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Yuneisy Duben31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Yuneisy Duben23c159.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.84854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c31…09c2backed Yuneisy Duben8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Jeisla Chaves70c144.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3910270.6%72 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jeisla Chaves70c130.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.324862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Jeisla Chaves77c130.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5826569.4%184 W · 81 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Yuneisy Duben30c127.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.311637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yuneisy Duben30c126.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388360.2%50 W · 33 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x834f…f38ebacked Jeisla Chaves70c124.29$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.292576%19 W · 6 L+6.3wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+45.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Yuneisy Duben26c120.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.256056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yuneisy Duben30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358246.3%38 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.