TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2eb…83b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michal Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.87
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Eric Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andrey Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Kaan Ofli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Theodor Berggren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed John Yannis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Joanderson Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$703.28
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Yuneisy Duben · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.61
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ding Meng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlston Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Aoriqileng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.02
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Angela Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+172.6%+$593.14
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigo Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chris Curtis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$189.82
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Sam Hughes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 20 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-88.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 49m and 53m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.83
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 49m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.61
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$501
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.85
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.72
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,119.64
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$111.14
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$179
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$322
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$83.65
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$109.84
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid+158.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.46
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+2,491.3%+$728.73
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Swiatekbacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$43.17
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.48
Brisbane International: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
ASB Classic: Katie Boulter vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44.16
Brisbane International: Marketa Vondrousova vs Magdalena Frechbacked Vondrousova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Yibing Wu vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Brisbane International: Valentin Vacherot vs Sebastian Kordabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+354.5%+$265.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$340
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$175
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Ray J · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$975
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.