UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce05fdd6b44581c721cffd8d93f16836e0b0ce1d41f74dd7a1dc4d7e1beed42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abus Magomedovof Abus Magomedov, Michal Oleksiejczuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 313,325$152,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,494.24 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 126,502$64,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,515.86 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 42,795$22,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,253.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200.04 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 29,011$15,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,085.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Abus Magomedov | 50c | 28,880$14,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,405.53 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 25,946$13,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,261.13 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 22,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Abus Magomedov | 48c | 18,327$8,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,529.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Abus Magomedov | 48c | 17,992$8,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,356.06 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 13,469$6,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,869.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 11,480$5,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,854.8 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 10,715$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.32 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 10,250$5,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.49 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 50c | 7,837$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.41 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 6,214$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 5,345$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.65 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 48c | 5,199$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.38 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…c9eabacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 5,175$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 5,070$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 4,901$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.48 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 4,888$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.88 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Abus Magomedov | 65c | 4,679$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 53c | 4,055$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.95 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Abus Magomedov | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Abus Magomedov | 47c | 3,789$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.38 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.84 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Abus Magomedov | 65c | 3,385$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 45c | 3,276$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.22 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 2,997$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 2,995$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.43 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Abus Magomedov | 61c | 2,807$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.62 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Abus Magomedov | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 2,500$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 39c | 2,280$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Abus Magomedov | 77c | 2,180$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.11 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…0119backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 2,141$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 1,735$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 39c | 1,613$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.03 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 53c | 1,604$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Abus Magomedov | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Abus Magomedov | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 1,354$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Abus Magomedov | 49c | 1,253$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.88 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 1,245$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac2…4b43backed Abus Magomedov | 51c | 1,235$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 12c | 1,185$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Abus Magomedov | 76c | 1,108$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.51 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 1,075$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.61 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 26c | 1,051$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.63 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 1,027$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.04 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 37c | 1,000$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Abus Magomedov | 48c | 895.83$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.83 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Abus Magomedov | 48c | 799.93$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.96 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Abus Magomedov | 47c | 774.82$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.66 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Abus Magomedov | 48c | 767.36$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.7 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 755.06$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 692.61$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 674.17$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.83 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 35c | 656$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 39c | 645.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 621$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…9019backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 49c | 607$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 598.08$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 50c | 587.76$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 587.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Abus Magomedov | 60c | 587.42$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Abus Magomedov | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Abus Magomedov | 62c | 542$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 42c | 528.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Abus Magomedov | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed Abus Magomedov | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Abus Magomedov | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 490.72$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 17c | 479.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Michal Oleksiejczuk | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d4…dcc3backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 44c | 458.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Abus Magomedov | 47c | 458.49$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 38c | 452.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.87 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 51c | 427$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Abus Magomedov | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 46c | 418.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Abus Magomedov | 56c | 400$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Abus Magomedov | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Michal Oleksiejczuk | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.