TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7380…9019

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Boxing, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.12
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.26
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$457.42
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs LEO (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group Bbacked LEO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.42
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.96
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Abacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.97
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.86
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.73
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+224.7%+$374.57
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Counter-Strike: DEPO vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group Bbacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.36
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Wingman (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.66
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Cbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.05
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$57.34
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 8: Sandoval vs. Lee (Welterweight, Main)backed Sandoval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakinbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.