TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof ex-RUBY, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY38c22,993$8,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,844.865,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY38c13,303$5,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.362,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked 100 Thieves62c6,852$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.7736453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed 100 Thieves62c6,700$4,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.9623848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed ex-RUBY39c5,209$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.3550051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed 100 Thieves61c3,839$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.2114051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked 100 Thieves62c3,304$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.513644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves62c2,908$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.0766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed ex-RUBY8c2,500$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.231,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 100 Thieves62c2,290$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.0560248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY38c1,987$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.072,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed ex-RUBY36c1,662$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.9955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b50…b417backed 100 Thieves60c1,543$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.062650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 100 Thieves61c1,485$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.5929044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked 100 Thieves60c1,390$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.1227753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY19c1,283$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.626,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed 100 Thieves62c1,275$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8922044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed 100 Thieves63c1,173$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.0315349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked ex-RUBY16c1,065$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17163541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed 100 Thieves60c1,046$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.465464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY2c954.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.082,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked 100 Thieves63c887.94$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9454543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed ex-RUBY38c873.08$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.775944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY24c843.26$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.934,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked 100 Thieves64c787.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.8727940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 100 Thieves63c749.78$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.952,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed 100 Thieves59c729.54$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2780942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed 100 Thieves62c641.03$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0325252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked 100 Thieves59c612$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.922147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed 100 Thieves59c608.47$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed ex-RUBY39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23426155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed 100 Thieves62c599.4$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.074643.5%20 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed ex-RUBY15c597.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.582045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY37c584$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.175,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUBY10c580.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.42,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed 100 Thieves65c563.31$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.168540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ex-RUBY35c561.51$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.791,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed ex-RUBY13c550.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.969035.6%32 W · 58 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked 100 Thieves59c550$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.56744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed ex-RUBY39c547$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3312638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7542…defdbacked 100 Thieves64c541.03$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.771546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed 100 Thieves62c529.03$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.037045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd5…12a2backed 100 Thieves61c525.86$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.092050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed 100 Thieves62c523.4$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.443545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed ex-RUBY40c504.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e96…914bbacked 100 Thieves59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed ex-RUBY38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a03…3e2dbacked ex-RUBY21c499.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY13c499.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.182,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x173f…e44dbacked ex-RUBY38c494.62$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed 100 Thieves65c480$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.419840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed 100 Thieves63c473.29$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1213253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY15c469.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.835,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed 100 Thieves62c464.88$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.654055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6536…6ed1backed 100 Thieves63c456$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 100 Thieves61c443.6$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17138037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed ex-RUBY15c437.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.564325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves77c426$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.857,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed 100 Thieves60c424.9$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9611349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked 100 Thieves66c424.24$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2410137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8562…0a61backed 100 Thieves63c421$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.772259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed ex-RUBY39c419.97$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9412049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb7e…9546backed ex-RUBY7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…0d18backed ex-RUBY38c368.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.94825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed ex-RUBY15c368$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9848635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed 100 Thieves62c353.73$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2316245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed 100 Thieves62c334.96$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2814544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked 100 Thieves59c315.95$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5417142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…2b32backed 100 Thieves60c288.47$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.392669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce7c…17cfbacked 100 Thieves59c288.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.143348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341c…f86fbacked 100 Thieves60c285$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed ex-RUBY39c274.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5534750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked 100 Thieves59c269.1$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.334348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e3…8cb6backed 100 Thieves59c258.63$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.852846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed ex-RUBY24c254.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9757641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked ex-RUBY40c253.16$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ec…4e7fbacked 100 Thieves59c249.66$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed ex-RUBY35c240$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bd5…b74abacked ex-RUBY35c234.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked 100 Thieves60c226.54$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY13c222.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.653,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 100 Thieves60c220.94$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked ex-RUBY38c214.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.557647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed 100 Thieves62c200.45$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed 100 Thieves62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed 100 Thieves60c199.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.695257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed 100 Thieves60c199$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.66445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY13c198.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.693,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed ex-RUBY37c190$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.314949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked ex-RUBY24c183.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1813760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked ex-RUBY18c182$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7613244.7%59 W · 73 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7380…9019backed 100 Thieves67c172.4$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.341729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY17c169.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.423,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed ex-RUBY23c169.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed ex-RUBY39c165.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.996154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed 100 Thieves60c162.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.516036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed ex-RUBY37c159$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8374054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked 100 Thieves67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2521362.4%133 W · 80 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed ex-RUBY39c142.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9937855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb68…9aa2backed 100 Thieves58c137.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.