CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa613c4b730264340b2a6ea4caa0481e8ac334a4158983aa24b5758bb0ad53105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 7,101$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.85 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 6,224$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.09 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 5,462$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.6 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 2,248$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.02 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,409$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.45 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,350$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 1,315$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.6 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 1,112$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.32 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 1,025$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.54 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 979.31$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.55 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 745.89$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.83 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 668$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 508.42$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.64 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 459.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 428.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 349.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.13 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 305.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 302.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 299.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 273.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 243.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 187.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 158.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 152.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 145.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 137.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 119.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 118.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 111.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 96.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 96.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 96.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 81.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…b0a6backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 74.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 68.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 66.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…f4dcbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 45.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 39.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 39.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 39.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 36.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 30.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 27.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 25.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…7efabacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 22.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.