CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bcb09ca7c3ffd44ccce46058a45baec1cebd50b2ae701e117081444a94744c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof ex-RUBY, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 673$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 576.37$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 21c | 285.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 26c | 262.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked ex-RUBY | 27c | 238$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed ex-RUBY | 15c | 225.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 164.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 127.65$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 119.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed ex-RUBY | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 80.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 72.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 70.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5575…c56dbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked ex-RUBY | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 32c | 50.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 40c | 41.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…5b66backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.