CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079fee68d5b2ae666a05b3667636edfa65184384de9fa2c0ebe135c40640ecba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof ex-RUBY, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…e804backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 2,200$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 1,456$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked ex-RUBY | 41c | 1,187$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.67 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 1,074$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.82 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 1,046$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 746.51$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.47 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 664.2$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked ex-RUBY | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-RUBY | 15c | 617.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…cce8backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 550.62$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…7314backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 523.65$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…d44cbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 491.43$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 443.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 390.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 34c | 373.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 344$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-RUBY | 22c | 340.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 336.49$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…fcfabacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 266.62$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 224.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 223.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-RUBY | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY | 16c | 155$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked ex-RUBY | 12c | 114.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 113.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 103.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ex-RUBY | 19c | 96.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-RUBY | 32c | 82.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 72.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed ex-RUBY | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked ex-RUBY | 42c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…c5d5backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 32.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 29.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 22.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.