TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89d6…f4dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6476.6%49 W · 15 L+8.2wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.71
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.33
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17.34
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.62
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.14
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.8
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.2
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.88
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49%+$17.09
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$15.07
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.92
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$14.18
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.14
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.82
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.6
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.68
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.48
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.94
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$7.28
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.96
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$66.04
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4075%30 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$6.74
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.52
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Abacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$5.98
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$24.8
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.04
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.44
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.48
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.68
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.68
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.53
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.68
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$33.81
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.98
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.71
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$38.63
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$21.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.25
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$8.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$39.67
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$20.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$40.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+401.1%+$569.76
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$46.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.56
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$4.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1593.3%14 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick67cpaid+41.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanenbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.71
Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.18
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltertbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.22
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tatjana Mariabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$9.38
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.6
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Taylah Prestonbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.55
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Hannah Klugmanbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.8
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
HSBC Championships: Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.78
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.98
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.4
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.36
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.52
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.24
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.74
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.24
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.96
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100.3%+$275.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$25.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.