World Politics · resolved market
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac1721c071b72e556df41a0c0d3c4d3c0baa599d352bbe92bc8450e06e596021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 1c | 21,111$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…9ab0backed No | 32c | 16,953$5,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,495.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 1c | 15,145$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed No | 1c | 9,463$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 8,756$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…87cbbacked No | 3c | 6,430$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 67c | 5,681$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.99 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…5bf9backed No | 41c | 5,678$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked No | 13c | 5,217$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4883backed Yes | 67c | 5,190$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 2c | 4,666$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…eb78backed No | 3c | 4,594$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed No | 35c | 4,537$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 8c | 4,217$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…50c7backed No | 32c | 4,038$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 2c | 4,010$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 3,937$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.51 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 3c | 3,900$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…df56backed No | 5c | 3,864$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…21a1backed Yes | 64c | 3,852$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 75c | 3,796$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 3c | 3,666$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 2c | 3,501$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…b33ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,293$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…897ebacked Yes | 61c | 3,143$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed No | 38c | 3,137$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 3,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 20c | 2,660$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.07 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 67c | 2,291$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.54 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7357…917dbacked No | 30c | 2,279$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…d302backed No | 43c | 2,231$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…0aa7backed No | 32c | 1,970$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked No | 33c | 1,836$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,820$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 78c | 1,715$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8b…d811backed No | 31c | 1,700$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked No | 4c | 1,689$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 39c | 1,663$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 38c | 1,610$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…e617backed No | 7c | 1,608$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked No | 13c | 1,562$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 62c | 1,497$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…731bbacked No | 2c | 1,450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…1425backed Yes | 70c | 1,432$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 1c | 1,326$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 66c | 1,307$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.16 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked No | 19c | 1,265$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,256$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.13 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 17c | 1,245$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 75c | 1,242$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.35 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…08d4backed No | 32c | 1,240$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…aee7backed No | 3c | 1,192$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa4…4aabbacked No | 12c | 1,182$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 78c | 1,163$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 7c | 1,091$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.54per pick | 16cpaid | +410.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…1ca8backed No | 34c | 1,074$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…539bbacked No | 32c | 1,060$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…bda2backed No | 4c | 1,055$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,046$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.93 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e00cbacked No | 30c | 1,005$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked No | 6c | 1,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 21c | 999.67$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.39 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…e6eebacked No | 2c | 998.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 57c | 987.08$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 34c | 986$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 59c | 946.1$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…bbd8backed Yes | 56c | 940.03$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes | 68c | 907.73$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed Yes | 69c | 895.99$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 5c | 890.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28df…d86cbacked No | 21c | 885.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…9002backed No | 2c | 869.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 69c | 854.7$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2c…dce3backed Yes | 68c | 831.01$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…6e99backed Yes | 75c | 820.33$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…256fbacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…adc8backed No | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 79c | 789.33$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.55 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…d17dbacked No | 9c | 768.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 35c | 750$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…1fc0backed No | 9c | 749.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 747.3$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed Yes | 54c | 740.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 38c | 731.08$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 19c | 729.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 30c | 723.69$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…6e8bbacked No | 15c | 699.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 18c | 681.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 33c | 675.28$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…c04fbacked No | 2c | 642.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…d718backed No | 3c | 619.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6384backed No | 6c | 608.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…a9edbacked No | 7c | 593.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 59c | 590.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ae34backed No | 5c | 587.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 2c | 569.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 16c | 568.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…65aebacked No | 4c | 560.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…1377backed No | 33c | 528.79$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?this page
- Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.