World Politics · resolved market
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f0bc2757babb8bb9971c9f782fe81f9db734c12d84822f1120a90681c991ff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $809,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbef…9ab0backed No | 51c | 20,687$10,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,207.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 48c | 15,393$7,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,012.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 48c | 11,096$5,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 35c | 9,890$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 44c | 7,706$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4883backed Yes | 55c | 7,646$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…b33ebacked Yes | 51c | 6,636$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 40c | 6,195$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.47 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 56c | 6,114$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 48c | 6,061$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 73c | 5,608$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.51 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…517dbacked No | 73c | 5,136$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 66c | 4,885$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…f295backed Yes | 44c | 4,704$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…ce19backed No | 65c | 4,626$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed Yes | 50c | 3,449$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 62c | 3,410$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.49 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 69c | 3,375$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 71c | 3,248$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.43 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 59c | 3,047$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 56c | 3,000$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.65 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed No | 64c | 2,995$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…bbd8backed Yes | 42c | 2,862$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…1936backed Yes | 33c | 2,757$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d2…c66bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,696$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 61c | 2,606$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.53 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,552$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…6dc9backed Yes | 8c | 2,481$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 53c | 2,227$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.81 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 29c | 2,180$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 49c | 2,163$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 37c | 2,105$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 41c | 2,102$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 26c | 1,999$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…0a93backed Yes | 44c | 1,993$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 68c | 1,957$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 37c | 1,923$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 39c | 1,897$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked No | 53c | 1,856$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed No | 54c | 1,844$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…6a93backed Yes | 10c | 1,836$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked No | 55c | 1,822$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.16 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed Yes | 43c | 1,807$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 38c | 1,792$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…471fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,776$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked No | 53c | 1,746$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 55c | 1,734$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.42 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5925…0693backed No | 60c | 1,733$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cb56backed Yes | 39c | 1,703$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…21a1backed No | 73c | 1,650$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 41c | 1,617$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed No | 62c | 1,608$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked No | 61c | 1,603$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Yes | 12c | 1,561$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 55c | 1,552$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.18 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed Yes | 31c | 1,551$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 79c | 1,525$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 48c | 1,501$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.28 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,499$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed No | 57c | 1,480$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 37c | 1,457$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 1,413$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01b…9fa1backed Yes | 13c | 1,381$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,251$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 48c | 1,235$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed No | 48c | 1,228$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 61c | 1,228$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,227$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.96 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…fc82backed Yes | 11c | 1,217$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed Yes | 39c | 1,208$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +261.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cec…4c13backed No | 60c | 1,203$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed Yes | 30c | 1,175$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 17c | 1,171$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes | 31c | 1,153$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…a3c9backed Yes | 11c | 1,148$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 68c | 1,128$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,084$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 1,073$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,073$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…42e3backed Yes | 25c | 1,053$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…051ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,053$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 30c | 1,053$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…589ebacked No | 32c | 1,035$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 51c | 1,017$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed No | 52c | 1,016$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 3c | 1,013$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…68c5backed No | 44c | 1,008$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc664…18eebacked Yes | 34c | 1,008$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes | 17c | 988$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…71b3backed Yes | 51c | 984.08$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 26c | 984$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked Yes | 30c | 971$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 77c | 970.55$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 33c | 968$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed Yes | 42c | 960$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 46c | 952.98$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.24 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 36c | 950$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +145%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 56c | 949.98$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked Yes | 6c | 946.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?this page
- Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.