World Politics · resolved market
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cfb6cf6857089dc6fa78cfa72c1b3e3f8331d42449407bf4d5dba1232132548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Yes | 67c | 28,436$19,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,381.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…e617backed No | 33c | 22,069$7,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,361.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 15c | 14,588$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 70c | 13,983$9,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.73 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 27c | 11,180$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 0c | 10,158$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 20c | 9,297$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.37 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed No | 0c | 8,145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 60c | 6,142$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked No | 6c | 3,632$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked No | 38c | 3,067$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 64c | 3,007$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.71 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 29c | 2,750$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 14c | 2,741$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.47 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 23c | 2,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 13c | 2,406$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.59 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +472.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 6c | 2,104$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 5c | 2,070$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…03d0backed Yes | 52c | 1,896$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…1f06backed Yes | 73c | 1,882$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 74c | 1,753$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…3fdbbacked No | 5c | 1,703$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 24c | 1,468$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.29 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 10c | 1,370$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 32c | 1,348$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.06 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked No | 29c | 1,214$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d3…91dabacked No | 71c | 1,166$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed No | 34c | 1,107$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b2…697cbacked No | 10c | 1,037$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +155%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…a9edbacked No | 4c | 912.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 11c | 765.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 13cpaid | +251.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 65c | 619.98$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…df56backed Yes | 32c | 570.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 36c | 538$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 28c | 500$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 26c | 500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed No | 4c | 481.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 4c | 470.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 42c | 453.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 7c | 430$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddc…9819backed No | 29c | 412.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…c1f9backed No | 6c | 396.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…bea7backed Yes | 14c | 369.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +638.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…8336backed No | 24c | 365.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…1377backed No | 39c | 316.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…4668backed No | 79c | 227.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Yes | 9c | 221.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +551.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2c…dce3backed Yes | 77c | 199.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed Yes | 69c | 193.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…d302backed No | 26c | 190.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed No | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 16c | 174.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…1da5backed Yes | 8c | 171.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +507.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…d395backed No | 30c | 167.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3d…1bfabacked Yes | 74c | 156.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked No | 33c | 151.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 21c | 141.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…f861backed No | 34c | 133.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 44c | 124.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…4258backed No | 33c | 119.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed Yes | 78c | 117.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf3…369dbacked No | 78c | 114.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…eb78backed No | 35c | 106.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…eedebacked No | 34c | 103.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…326dbacked Yes | 10c | 101.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +384.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…c745backed Yes | 30c | 101.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked No | 31c | 100.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…9064backed Yes | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +905%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…0e21backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed No | 25c | 99.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 93.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 75c | 89.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd7…a693backed No | 28c | 86.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 73c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 71c | 83.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed No | 23c | 82.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f59…823bbacked No | 25c | 80.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…602fbacked No | 30c | 75.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed No | 25c | 75.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 20c | 72.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 27c | 72.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…116fbacked Yes | 72c | 65.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…02eabacked No | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 53c | 60.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 50c | 56.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…770cbacked No | 56c | 55.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…6a78backed No | 34c | 47.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…6bcabacked No | 27c | 45.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No | 61c | 40.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…1a92backed No | 33c | 35.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Yes | 61c | 32.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…67dcbacked No | 61c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedf…fce8backed Yes | 73c | 26.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?this page
- Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?No won
- Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.