TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0484…e0ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
298
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10838%41 W · 67 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+62.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$929.54
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,480.1
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.6
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.44
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.48
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.8
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,431.29
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.49
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.6
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,053.37
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,023.55
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$4,590
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.28
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$150.29
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$222.13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212%+$977.34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,644.99
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$910
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,769Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+179.8%+$4,978.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$8,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+564.7%+$45,770.95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$375.92
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$453
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.52
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.41
England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.48
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.1
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.32
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.05
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.99
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.89
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.91
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.85
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$290.58
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$890
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$810
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.35
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.55
Sweden leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+284.8%+$296.06
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+2,073.9%+$1,907.98
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.31
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.88
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$641.6
NBA Finals: Game 1 Winner to be Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+173.7%+$2,443.49
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$155.21
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$343.71
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,104
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.67
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.67
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.92
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.31
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.11
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.5
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$257
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.25
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$2,576.57
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+305.2%+$1,010.36
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$101.05
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.93
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,377Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$952.44
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.62
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$779.66
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.74
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$278.02
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.42
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.76
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,330
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$92.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.33
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$720.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.61
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.45
Partizan vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Barcelona vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$284.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+194.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+488.4%+$3,255.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$315
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.94
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$147
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$71.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.