La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076cfd6fc63c091b8ebd3411f3c21b382c7d5cb461fa5b48299563a5d60e915f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 6,784$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.79 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 3,474$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.04 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 55c | 3,273$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 2,501$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.16 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Yes | 53c | 2,038$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 1,272$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.72 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 48c | 966.52$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.18 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 914.87$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.18 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes | 53c | 855.32$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 715.38$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.01 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 596.33$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.76 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 51c | 569.43$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 52c | 480.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 437.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.42 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4c…9f7dbacked Yes | 51c | 427.84$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 52c | 411.06$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 22c | 381$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 359.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…4aa3backed Yes | 28c | 345.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 299.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 59c | 228.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 218 | 31.7%69 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 41c | 201.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 152.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Yes | 32c | 130.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…a3f5backed Yes | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 47c | 105.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed No | 29c | 103$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a5…6be1backed Yes | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 46c | 65.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 72c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 45.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 43.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 47c | 38.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 52c | 35.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 51c | 30.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona leading at halftime?No won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.