Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4956584c17180b9bf83130ab00527dfc85943f471fe75efe910cb7780a03acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 33,884$21,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,307.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 48c | 31,054$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 10,955$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.28 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 8,934$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.44 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 8,841$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.05 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 7,585$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.34 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 58c | 7,581$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.35 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 6,301$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.88 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 6,250$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 5,641$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.47 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 47c | 5,301$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.37 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 4,294$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.77 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 15c | 4,000$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.94 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 43c | 3,721$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 57c | 2,991$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.1 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked No | 56c | 2,674$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.39 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 44c | 2,269$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.96 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 7c | 1,792$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 16c | 1,651$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…91a8backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 12c | 1,326$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 23c | 1,316$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.76 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 24c | 1,315$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.38 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…bb32backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 1,065$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.91 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 55c | 999.93$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.96 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 43c | 953.49$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 34c | 889.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 8c | 887.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 768.93$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 69c | 728.9$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.16 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 57c | 705.61$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.41 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…9ba7backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 73c | 697$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.33 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 57c | 679.42$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.15 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 674.72$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 73c | 651$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 7c | 548.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 9c | 544.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 57c | 512$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 15c | 458$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…a053backed Yes | 44c | 457.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 406.83$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 403.3$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 77c | 374$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 25c | 355.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…6afdbacked No | 57c | 349$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 53c | 339.62$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 59c | 330.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 57c | 311.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 59c | 308.93$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 21c | 303.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 294.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 44c | 281$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 260$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 6c | 250.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 24c | 241.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 42c | 234.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…9f67backed No | 46c | 219.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…738dbacked Yes | 33c | 200.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…614abacked No | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1627backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 157.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 12c | 138$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 23c | 126.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 56c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?this page
- Belgium leading at halftime?No won
- Senegal leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.