Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9deb1e1c0154dc117137839cd9716c70fc2d70eef5b771fc6ec7ee5a74c902c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 28,070$20,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,636.54 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 20,558$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 35c | 14,580$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.24 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 12,651$8,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.42 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 11,096$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes | 30c | 9,601$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.56 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 5c | 8,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 7,257$4,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.73 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 35c | 6,900$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.99 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 6,497$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.28 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 64c | 4,739$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.53 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 35c | 4,429$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 38c | 4,390$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.2 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 35c | 4,226$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 32c | 4,207$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.19 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 3,042$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.43 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 2,311$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.07 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…ba92backed Yes | 35c | 2,164$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.55 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 35c | 1,848$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.63 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 34c | 1,818$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.37 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 68c | 1,718$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.77 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 31c | 1,702$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.95 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…1581backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 66c | 1,250$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 1,090$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.25 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 79c | 1,089$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 946.79$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.36 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…fe91backed No | 73c | 931.51$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 83 | 67.5%56 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 34c | 906.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.37 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 16c | 900$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 15c | 873.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 62c | 868.88$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.17 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…b9dbbacked Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…bb07backed Yes | 35c | 848.57$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 31c | 834$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.54 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 33c | 771.73$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 73c | 720$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 78c | 619.76$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 613.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Yes | 8c | 611.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 65c | 512$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 70c | 510.33$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 32c | 495.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 38c | 419.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 65c | 418$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 65c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 35c | 327$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 64c | 300.18$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…1a8ebacked Yes | 18c | 299.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked No | 77c | 283.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 34c | 280.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 65c | 268.82$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 65c | 266.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…f5febacked Yes | 37c | 252$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…e9f3backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked No | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 140 | 29.3%41 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 27c | 188.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 27c | 183$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0393…14b5backed No | 69c | 180.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 40c | 176.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 38c | 172.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 64c | 156.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 65c | 154.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 64c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 64c | 149.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…69e2backed Yes | 35c | 144.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…4949backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 11c | 126.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…43ddbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…6e4ebacked No | 69c | 123.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 24c | 123.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 31c | 120.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 254 | 37.4%95 W · 159 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5db1backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 102.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…6bf6backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 62c | 93.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 34c | 92.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 67c | 85.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 66c | 81.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 32c | 80.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 66c | 75.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed No | 65c | 74.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium leading at halftime?this page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?No won
- Senegal leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.