TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No73c28,070$20,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,636.542,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c20,558$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes35c14,580$5,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.241,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c12,651$8,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,430.421,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c11,096$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.584,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes30c9,601$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.569440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes5c8,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.981346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid-1.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c7,257$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.733,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes35c6,900$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.9925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c6,497$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.283,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No64c4,739$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.5340239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes35c4,429$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes38c4,390$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.25034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Yes35c4,226$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4796631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes32c4,207$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.1935034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes36c3,042$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No64c2,311$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.072,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Yes35c2,164$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.554055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9921450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes35c1,848$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.638727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes34c1,818$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.372,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No68c1,718$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.7741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes31c1,702$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.951,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a19…1581backed Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No66c1,250$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4254963.3%31 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes31c1,090$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.251,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No79c1,089$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4924443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes37c946.79$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.362,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed No73c931.51$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.518367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes34c906.98$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3740343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes16c900$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked Yes15c873.79$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13114430.6%44 W · 100 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No62c868.88$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.172,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc30b…b9dbbacked Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1505…bb07backed Yes35c848.57$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes31c834$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes33c771.73$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4698134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No73c720$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0771939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No78c619.76$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes3c613.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.772,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Yes8c611.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.914535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No65c512$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed No70c510.33$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3926647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed Yes32c495.34$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5119027.9%53 W · 137 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes38c419.39$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No65c418$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.412,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No65c400$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes35c342.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes35c327$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2463544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No64c300.18$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.061,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a52…1a8ebacked Yes18c299.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555038%19 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked No77c283.98$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1717329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes34c280.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3530345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Yes39c269.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10523022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No65c268.82$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.091,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No65c266.6$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.31,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…f5febacked Yes37c252$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.56031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d9…e9f3backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked No63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.114029.3%41 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes35c214.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes27c188.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes27c183$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.412,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0393…14b5backed No69c180.97$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.975761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes40c176.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010435.6%37 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes38c172.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657123.9%17 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No64c156.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.461,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No65c154.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9642853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.531156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No64c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.751,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No64c149.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8886656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…69e2backed Yes35c144.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508341%34 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ea…4949backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes11c126.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9878234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…43ddbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509031.1%28 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked No69c123.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.447475.7%56 W · 18 L+10.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes24c123.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.662,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes31c120.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4488852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025437.4%95 W · 159 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…5db1backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014155.3%78 W · 63 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No64c102.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.453,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8091…6bf6backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359142.9%39 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed No62c93.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4816641%68 W · 98 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes34c92.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7462633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed No67c85.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0842554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No66c81.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.786159%36 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes32c80.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6715751%80 W · 77 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed No69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.88451.2%43 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No66c75.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.848937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed No66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7620630.6%63 W · 143 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No65c74.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2414750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.