TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc827…ff0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+3,233.3%+$539.74
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+4,066.7%+$2,439.99
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+3,233.3%+$970
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+3,233.3%+$970
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+3,233.3%+$970
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT260%0 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres - Game 2 Winnerbacked SDM Tigres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
First Blood in Game 5?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
First Blood in Game 4?backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
First Blood in Game 2?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Hive · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Xtreme Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.03
Dota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 1 Winnerbacked BALU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+566.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.