TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under65c33,574$21,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,980.412,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c9,097$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,626.868,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c5,443$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.895,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c4,536$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.493,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Over33c3,665$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under76c2,899$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.4610618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over37c2,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.1220036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd4…1fabbacked Under1c2,600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick3cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over54c2,187$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.9819846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under77c1,866$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.7972450.6%366 W · 358 L-24.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under66c1,509$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick76cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Over39c1,415$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.923633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over54c1,262$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.241,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52820046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b3…dc76backed Under16c1,153$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…5baabacked Over27c900$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+142.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Under47c748.1$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.141844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under70c704.22$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.952462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under57c679.43$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.95042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under13c674.77$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3818426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under57c622.9$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6135240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over30c576.91$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.9115625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over42c515.66$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.057342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c495.27$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.792,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c485.07$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.361,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over26c477.77$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over17c376.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.121044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c347.06$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0619135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over54c340$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7278856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c336.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.272,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under53c307.75$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.532139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c295.9$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.461,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c265.71$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.632,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under74c250.06$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.388657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over34c235.81$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8510635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0903…3d87backed Under45c221.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over39c217$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7710546.7%49 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17013134.4%45 W · 86 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over22c187.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.662885.7%24 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+139.3%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x11dd…f832backed Under14c186.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over74c175.72$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0924766%163 W · 84 L+27.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under74c159.58$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3322049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c158$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.522,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6314643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under59c137.47$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1129245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under15c128.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27210%0 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Over21c118.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over53c113$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1131240.1%125 W · 187 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Over28c106.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Over56c105$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under46c103.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.617843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over41c103.37$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under60c100.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5244843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under67c93.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.034542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over38c83.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.19056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Over49c76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.764934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over54c75.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.533650%18 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Over20c74.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.87100%7 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+212.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over46c71.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Over32c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.61450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Over22c68.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.396350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f8…809cbacked Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5a…1179backed Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+58.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over33c64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.181,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over26c59.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8116845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over57c59.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.637262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over20c58.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0251750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb36c…da2fbacked Under62c56.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Under62c55.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.452972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under67c52.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Over29c52.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.863630.6%11 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-43.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Over33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over40c48.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Over35c48.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.611225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under60c47.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6612645.2%57 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over54c47.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6515554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over32c45.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5867548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over50c39.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over54c38.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9311848.3%57 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over38c38.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.716051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over27c37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8416453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…a79abacked Under45c34.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.