South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717e805b1dc529b948253f9e49bbf763f20682335aaebb42fc13956f2673997d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 4,510$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.2 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 4,136$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 3,377$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 9c | 2,242$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.39 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 8c | 1,536$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 1,209$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.79 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 1,209$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Over | 33c | 985.24$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 69c | 883.94$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 32c | 500.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 19c | 488.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 422.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 399.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 332$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 31c | 249.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 31c | 227.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 32c | 210$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under | 69c | 141.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 31c | 134$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 9c | 116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 80c | 105.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 31c | 74.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…fc2abacked Under | 68c | 74.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 15c | 71.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…143fbacked Over | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed Under | 68c | 61.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 31c | 49.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 32c | 48.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 76c | 27.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Atlante FC won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)Atlante FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.